Archive for the ‘General’ Category
Chase in Arkansas
Brett Adair and the Alabama Storm Trackers may be going on a chase in Arkansas on Tuesday. Contact Brett Adair for more information if interested at brett@livestormsnow.com.![]()
SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS
STORMS DEVELOP/INTENSIFY WITH TIME. EVENTUAL WW ISSUANCE IS
POSSIBLE.
LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE AND RADAR LOOPS SHOW CONVECTION SLOWLY
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA…BOTH INVOF A SEA BREEZE
BOUNDARY NEAR THE SERN TX/SRN LA COAST AND ALSO FARTHER N INTO SRN
MS NEAR THE SYNOPTIC-SCALE FRONT. THE CONVECTION IS INITIATING
WITHIN A THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT FEATURING VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES
THROUGH A DEEP LAYER…AND A VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER. THIS
COMBINED WITH DIURNAL HEATING IS YIELDING MIXED-LAYER CAPE VALUES
NOW AS HIGH AS 3500 J/KG FROM SERN TX EWD ACROSS SRN LA.
AS HEATING/DESTABILIZATION CONTINUES…AND AS A COMPACT UPPER
LOW/VORT MAX SHIFTS SEWD OUT OF OK INTO THE ARKLATEX
REGION…LARGE-SCALE ASCENT SHOULD INCREASE ACROSS THE DISCUSSION
AREA…SUPPORTING AN INCREASE IN BOTH STORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY.
WHILE PROFILER/VWP DATA AND MORNING RAOBS REVEAL MODEST FLOW ALOFT
— AND THUS SHEAR VALUES GENERALLY UNSUPPORTIVE OF
SUPERCELLS…DEGREE OF INSTABILITY APPEARS SUFFICIENT TO OVERCOME
THIS LIMITATION AND YIELD AN INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND
LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WHILE WW IS NOT
IMMINENT…INCREASING POTENTIAL MAY EVENTUALLY WARRANT WATCH
ISSUANCE.
..GOSS.. 09/28/2011
ATTN…WFO…MOB…JAN…LIX…LCH…SHV…HGX…
Tropical Storm Irene
Stay connected to Alabamastormtrackers.com and Livestormsnow.com for the latest on Irene, and contact Brett Adair at brett@livestormsnow.com for information on a tropical tour.
