Archive for February, 2012

The Alabama Storm Trackers will be in the field today for a marginal severe weather setup across the state. The SPC has dropped most of Alabama from the Slight risk of severe weather, but portions of NE Alabama remain within the risk, and the SPC tornado probabilities still have most of Alabama under a 2% risk for tornadoes(see picture). A strong cap is in place over Alabama, which will hinder storm development, and storms are not expected to form until this evening. However, it still seems possible that strong to severe storms could develop over the state, bringing with them strong winds, flash flooding, hail, and the potential for isolated tornadoes. The Alabama Storm Trackers will be streaming LIVE Here this evening. Stay alert this evening and stay connected to AlabamaStormTrackers.com for the latest on this developing situation.

More storms are likely on Thursday, and the Alabama Storm Trackers will be gearing up for a chase. The SPC has a slight risk of severe weather from Virginia and North Carolina Southwest into southern Texas. Almost all of Alabama and all of Mississippi are within the slight risk, which will likely be upgraded within the next few days.

SPC Day 3 Outlook

In addition, a 30% hatched risk area has already been put in place by the SPC, which includes portions of Alabama, Mississippi, Arkansas, and Georgia. Stay connected to the Alabama Storm Trackers for the latest details on this system and contact Brett at brett@livestormsnow.com for chase information.

SPC Tornado Probability

An isolated tornado is possible today over portions of Oklahoma, Kansas, Arkansas, and Missouri. While this is not an outbreak scenario, a few isolated tornadoes are possible, and people in the region should pay close attention to the weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for the latest in severe weather information.

Rainfall is beginning to move into western counties at a slow pace as a convective complex moves across Central/Southern Mississippi.  This complex contains most of the wind and afformentioned severe threat with it.  If anyone is to see a severe cell or two, I would think it woul dbe SW of the Montgomery metro area with this complex.  Elsewhere, some elevated thunderstorms are showing up around Starkville – Huntsville and into West Alabama were large scale lift is present.  Heavy rain and a few gusty winds will continue to be the big threats along with deadly lightinng.  Again, don’t expect too much severe weather this evening.

A tornado watch is now in effect for portions of Oklahoma and Texas until 8pm Central time this evening.  Looks as if the main threats from these storms will be wind and hail, but an isolated tornado will be possible as low level shear increases this afternoon into the evening hours.  We will continue to monitor the threats and will update you if any of our teams end up hitting the field in this region.