Archive for February 27th, 2011

This is the latest Day 2 outlook from the SPC in terms of the highest threat of severe weather on Monday.  There is a slight risk in tact for the northern 2/3rd’s of Alabama as well as northeast Mississippi and north Georgia.  The parameters are there for some isolated super cell convection along with the threat of tornadoes.  The tornadic threat will be prevalent with any cells that can form ahead of the line as well as cells embedded within the line.  Shear will weaken with time, but moisture is already outdoing the forecast and can overcome the shear values at times.  We will be updating with our chase target mapping for Monday morning when we plan to deploy as well as updating with our own risk graphics.  However, the SPC does mention the potential for higher probabilities and maybe significant probabilities in later outlooks as the features become more clear. 

Stay with us as we prepare for our first real chase of the 2011 storm season.