Archive for January 31st, 2011
Rain Spreading Some…Updated Severe Potential
Our current high resolution radar shows some lighter showers spreading into the area this hour with the bulk of the rainfall staying south of I-20 where it has remained most of the day. It looks like some showery activity can be expected for the rest of the night across most of the area with the heaviest rainfall staying to the south. This will begin to taper off during the day on Monday and give way to mostly cloudy skies.
The Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma has issued there latest day 2 convective outlook for Tuesday. The threat has expanded some to the west and they mention higher instability values potentially being present as temperatures are a big warmer on current model runs for the Mississippi area. There is now mention of rotating storms with a highly sheared low level environment and the potential for a couple of super cell thunderstorms across LA/MS during this time. We are going to upgrade our chase status to MODERATE for the likelihood of chasing across the Jackson metro area on Tuesday. Continue to monitor the blog concerning this as things may change before Tuesday.
Now….we won’t talk much about it but the models are starting to pick up on something pretty big for the weekend. This is the Canadian model that has performed pretty good in the longer range this winter….and it shows some Winter mischief across Mississippi and Alabama in the form of ice and snow on Saturday. We will fine tune things before then, but the idea is definitely on the table.
