A weather watch is now looking possible for portions of Central Alabama this afternoon as the environment is becoming very unstable with afternoon heating and sunshine.  The SPC will upgrade portions of the area to a convective slight risk on the 1630z update….or around 11:30am.  We will monitor the situation and keep you updated on the sitaution….the SPC text and statement of the MCD follows…

 AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MS...NRN AL...NWRN GA...ERN TN AND WRN NC

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 191530Z - 191630Z

   THREAT FOR MAINLY ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND WILL EXIST THIS AFTERNOON
   WITH STORMS DEVELOPING FROM NRN MS THROUGH NRN AND CNTRL AL...NWRN
   GA...ERN TN AND WRN NC. THIS AREA IS BEING UPGRADED TO A SLIGHT
   RISK...AND A WW IS POSSIBLE DEPENDING ON CONVECTIVE TRENDS.

   AT MID-DAY AN EXPANSIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD
   THROUGH ERN KY AND ERN TN THEN WWD INTO NRN AL AND NRN MS. THE
   ATMOSPHERE SOUTH OF THIS FEATURE IS ALREADY MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH
   2000-2500 J/KG MLCAPE. STRONG DIABATIC HEATING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER
   WILL RESULT IN FURTHER DESTABILIZATION THIS AFTERNOON. FLOW ALOFT IS
   WEAK WNWLY ALONG NRN PERIPHERY OF UPPER RIDGE. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE
   PROPENSITY FOR STORMS TO ORGANIZE INTO MULTICELL LINES ALONG THE
   OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...A SLIGHTLY GREATER CONCENTRATION OF STRONG TO
   DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE THAN IS USUALLY EXPECTED IN A
   PULSE STORM ENVIRONMENT.