Archive for February 7th, 2010
Why The Clouds?!
February 7th, 2010 | 
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Potential Winter Weather Event Late Week
I said earlier that I wasn’t going to talk too much about it, but after going over the model forecast guidance this morning I have been a bit inspired by what I have been seeing. I will go ahead and get into the system just a bit, but I will caution you that winter weather forecasting more than 2-3 days in advance is just pure speculation at this point. So….on to the maps! First we will start with our 2PM regional temps this afternoon.
We are still looking at a rainy system coming in Tuesday with temperatures in the 40′s/50′s during that event so precipitation will remain all rain during that time frame. Some of the rain could be locally heavy causing some of the more prone areas to deal with some slight flooding issues. I don’t foresee this as being a huge rain maker, but 1″ or rain is possible.
Now, to the main feature during the period. Morning guidance has came in alot wetter than some of the previous packages. We are looking at a situation where cold air will blow in after the Tuesday system. Another southern stream wave will begin to organize over Texas by late Wednesday into Thursday and allow for surface pressure falls and rain to spread over the Texas area into the Gulf. As of now, our temperature profiles are beginning to look cold enough that we could deal with some snowfall across portions of Central/North Alabama especially on Friday. We’ll post a couple of model images below…
While we won’t be able to give a more specific forecast until around Wednesday….we are thinking that there will be wintery weather across our state as we head into next weekend. Stay tuned with us for further updates as we approach this potential winter storm situation.
Clouds Hang Tough
Rainfall will develop across Central Texas later today where some hail will be possible as cold mid level temperatures overspread the region. This system will move eastward across the Lower Mississippi Valley and Gulf Coast states on Tuesday and bring rainfall to Alabama. Amounts of around 1″ will likely be common as with our past couple of systems. Localized flooding could once again be an issue given the saturated grounds…especially along river basins.
After the first system ejects….cold/dry air will set firmly in place across the state through the end of the week. At this time…another potential weather maker will develop across Texas during the day on Thursday and move eastward into the Gulf of Mexico. This system has the potential to bring some precipitation to Alabama. At this time, I won’t put that into the forecast because the dry air at the lower levels could keep rain or snow from reaching the surface. However, this could change in later forecasts. Just keep in mind that we are monitoring the potential for a storm system at the end of the week that could bring frozen precip. More later…