This morning on Water Vapor we note a shortwave and some associated convection moving northeastward into Louisiana and Southern Mississippi.  This will do two things for our weather….allow us to warm up some today into the mid 50′s as well as give us a chance of showers especially to the south of Interstate 20 later into the evening and overnight.  Rainfall amounts should be lighter with most of the rain passing through South Alabama.

We will dry out later tomorrow and stay in the 50′s through much of the week with lows dipping down around the freezing mark.  The next major storm system down the line will begin to crank up by Wednesday to our west with rain spreading northward across the Gulf Coast states later in the night.  We will begin to feel the effects by Thursday with the heaviest rain over the southern 2/3 of the state.  Amounts of 1″ will be common with some locally 2-3″ totals toward the south from about US-84 southward. 

We will chill off again on Friday with temperatures in the mid 40′s and overnight lows dipping down into the 20′s.  This seems to be a continuing pattern with the Arctic/North Atlantic Oscillation dipping toward the negative territory for much of the month.  With an active storm track and cold air coming down the pipe….we will obviously have to keep an eye on any precipitation events that approach over the next 2-3 weeks.  Who cares if the groundhog see’s his shadow?  We already know it’s going to be COLLLLLLD!